Is Michael Allen in for a long night?
Paul Mitchell, a Democratic political consultant and redistricting guru, included this note in his pre-election summary today: Assemblymembers (Betsy) Butler, (Michael) Allen, (Allan) Mansoor, (Tim) Donnelly and Beth Gaines are all facing tough re-elections. Rumor has one of them coming in third or fourth depending on the poll, so brace yourself .”
I haven’t seen any polling data, but Allen has been the primary beneficiary of more than $254,000 in independent expenditures in the North Bay’s 10th Assembly District. Organized labor groups have been spending on behalf of Allen and against San Rafael Councilman Marc Levine, one of six other candidates on the ballot. Levine also has been targeted by horse racing interests.
According to figures published Monday by the Sacramento Bee, Allen’s district ranks ninth for the most spending by independent groups on Assembly elections.
Independent spending has been much heavier in some of the other districts that Mitchell mentioned, but the expenditures in the North suggest that Allen is still working to solidify his position in the new 10th Assembly District. Remember, the top two finishers, regardless of party, advance to November.
- Jim Sweeney